1. Briefing papers
This is a briefing for non-specialists on UK trade and the trade options for the UK with Brexit.
An outstanding team of experts contributed to the paper, including Sir Martin Donnelly, Andrew Sentance CBE, Professor L Alan Winters CB, George Peretz QC and Professor George Yarrow. Thanks also to Peter Ungphakorn and Gerard Fox for their valuable contributions.
This is a briefing for non-specialists on what ‘going WTO’ with no deal would mean from a trade perspective. In passing, it deals with the myths associated with Article 24 of GATT.
The paper reflects contributions from Dr. Lorand Bartels, Sir Martin Donnelly, Peter Ungphakorn and Professor L Alan Winters CB. Gina Miller suggested I write the paper. Her ‘End the Chaos’ and ‘Lead not Leave’ websites published branded versions at the time.
Presentation at the excellent Trade Unlocked conference on 20 June 2023 at the Birmingham NEC, which covers:
- Setting the scene – the critical role of UK service trade
- Overview of the EU-UK trade agreement (TCA)
- Recent services trade trends
- Routes to a better future
Services trade - mind the gap (April 2022)
My blog quantifies the serious shortfall emerging in UK services exports to the EU – published by UK in a Changing Europe.
This article published by UK in a Changing Europe is a quick scan on the new bureaucracy and other barriers that are harming UK exports of goods and services to the EU.
This article, published by the UK Trade Forum, summarises some of the key implications of WTO rules for the UK. It is based on the September 2018 briefing paper.
This article written for the Conservative Group for Europe assesses Johnson’s 2 October proposals from the points of view of the UK, Northern Ireland, Republic of Ireland and the EU.
This article asks what would happen more widely with no deal. It looks beyond trade and the economy to security and health.
“an enemy of the UK would regard the wide-ranging damage from ‘no deal’ as a major victory”
This article summarises the proposal from Nick Boles MP and others for an EEA-style arrangement between the UK and the EU after Brexit. It also assesses the challenges and questions whether there is any benefit in this approach compared to EEU membership.
George Peretz QC, who advised on Common Market 2.0, kindly reviewed this article.