1. Briefing papers
This is a briefing for non-specialists on what ‘going WTO’ with no deal would mean from a trade perspective.
In passing, it deals with the myths associated with Article 24 of GATT.
The paper reflects contributions from Dr. Lorand Bartels, Sir Martin Donnelly, Peter Ungphakorn and Professor L Alan Winters CB.
Gina Miller suggested I write the paper. Her ‘End the Chaos’ and ‘Lead not Leave’ Campaigns have published their own branded versions.
This is an extensive 77-page briefing for non-specialists on UK trade and the trade options for the UK with Brexit.
An outstanding team of experts contributed to the paper, including Sir Martin Donnelly, Andrew Sentance CBE, Professor L Alan Winters CB, George Peretz QC and Professor George Yarrow.
This article asks what will happen more widely with no deal. It looks beyond trade and the economy to security and health.
“an enemy of the Uk would regard the wide-ranging damage from ‘no deal’ as a major victory”
This article summarises the proposal from Nick Boles MP and others for an EEA-style arrangement between the UK and the EU after Brexit. It also assesses the challenges and questions whether there is any benefit in this approach compared to EEU membership.
George Peretz QC, who advised on Common Market 2.0, kindly reviewed this article.
This short article was published on the UK Trade Forum and summarises some of the key implications of WTO rules for the UK. It is based on the September 2018 paper.
3. Presentations and summaries
These are the slides used to support a one-hour discussion on Brexit with the Richmond Group of independent management consultants.
This Pdf download captures the bullet point summaries from the sections of the Brexit FactBase.
Ideal if you need a list of Brexit talking points/prompts.
Based on an excellent Twitter thread by Steve Bullock (@GuitarMoog), this provides a summary of key Brexit points.
4. EU Election Modeller
This is a simple-to-use Excel spreadsheet model that allows you to input scenarios for vote shares by party for regions.
You can use this to input poll data or your own forecasts. The model then automatically calculates how many seats each party wins. It’s a great way to brings the proportional voting system alive.
For a description of the voting system for the European elections, please click here.
One thing is clear: voter turnout is key. So, please make sure you and your friends vote!